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Oddhead Blog
linked to by 4 other blogs recently
Musings of a computer scientist on predictions, odds, and markets
Most recent posts
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Third Annual New York Computer Science and Economics Day
posted to Oddhead Blog on Thu 9th Sep 10
Join us at NYCE Day 2010 on Friday October 15 at the lovely New York Academy of Sciences, a gathering of “researchers in the larger New York metropolitan area with interests in Computer Science, Economics, Marketing and Business and a common focus in
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Three Crowd-ed events this fall
posted to Oddhead Blog on Tue 17th Aug 10
Research and Analysis of Tail Phenomenon SymposiumAugust 20, 2010, Sunnyvale, CAThe last decade has witnessed the emergence of enormous scale artifacts resulting from the independent action of hundreds of millions of people; for example, web repositories, social
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Where is the betting market for P=NP when you need it?
posted to Oddhead Blog on Wed 11th Aug 10
HP research scientist Vinay Deolalikar has constructed the most credible proof yet of the most important open question in computer science. If his proof is validated (and there are extremely confident skeptics as you’ll see) he proved that P≠NP, or
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A historic MayDay: The US governments call for help on regulating prediction markets
posted to Oddhead Blog on Fri 2nd May 08
If ever there was an excuse for me to use the clich pregnant with possibilities, this is it.May 1, 2008 could signal a turning point for the prediction markets industry.*Yesterday, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued a request for public
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The most prescient footnote ever
posted to Oddhead Blog on Thu 15th Jul 10
Back in 2004, who could have imagined Apple’s astonishing rise to overtake Microsoft as the most valuable tech company in the world?At least one person.Paul Graham wins the award for the most prescient parenthetical statement inside a footnote ever.In
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Where is the betting market for P=NP when you need it?
posted to Oddhead Blog on Wed 11th Aug 10
HP research scientist Vinay Deolalikar has constructed the most credible proof yet of the most important open question in computer science. If his proof is validated (and there are extremely confident skeptics as you’ll see) he proved that P≠NP, or
Latest posts linking here
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P = NP?
posted to Marginal Revolution on Wed 11th Aug 10
Here is one discussion of how hard it is to find the betting market in this proposition. Here is a betting market of unclear size and relevance, on which Millennium math problem will be solved next; it apparently predicts 76 percent for P
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Stefan Oppers on Austrian business cycle theory
posted to The Filter^ on Wed 21st Jul 10
As previously mentioned I'm giving a talk on Austrian business cycle theory tomorrow at the IEA, and have been looking for examples of Austrian economists that "foresaw" the financial crisis. This builds on previous discussions such as this. One of
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Assorted links
posted to Marginal Revolution on Fri 16th Jul 10
1. Against ridicule.2. Should you be allowed to know what's in your DNA?3. A very good footnote.4. Poop transplants.5. Hail Bryan Caplan! (if only he meant it and in the meantime I beg that he be a Straussian).6. Good post on sectoral shifts and required skill



